murtaza
@murtazaEveryone keeps saying all these dips are a blessing in disguise to accumulate more for the bull market. Brother it has been 4 weeks, I have been blessed enough, please go up NOW.
Limitless | Bitmap Emporium🟧👽
@limitlesssauceThe great migration is happening. I'm seeing A LOT of smart people moving to Bitcoin from other chains. Simply way too many bullish plays. Bitmap, ordinals, NATs, runes, BTC L2s etc. We're going to have a nuclear run in the BTC ecosystem. We will onboard. We will do our part.
Mercury
@TraderMercuryA full breakdown of my thoughts on the market, and how I'll be looking to execute on those thoughts I've recently been very loud about how most coins in the market, including $BTC, have broken down below HTF trends, and shifted Market Structures on the Daily timeframe bearishly when something that significant happens, the only 'bullish' argument left standing is exclusively visible on even higher timeframes so in the current scenario, I can say: BTC is downtrending on the daily, but still uptrending on the weekly similar to how the 4H 200MAs portray the gist of the trend for the daily chart (the timeframe higher, since they are a lagging indicator), the 200DMAs portray the general trend on the weekly chart so my attention gets drawn towards the 200DMAs as the next significant region to be watching as a HTF inflection point 'inflection point' is the key there. I'm not just simply targeting support levels. I will happily acknowledge them as support. that's cool and all, but I'm not a 'support-level trader'. I'm a trend trader so it's my job to look for key regions where I can make a bet on direction for a proportional amount of time, and percentage, to the timeframe that I'm trading on so I'm assuming that at the very worst, we go to the 200DMAs, retest them as very HTF trend support, maintain a higher low on the weekly timeframe, and resume the bull market thereafter - if at all. "wait, but if the weekly timeframe is still bullish, why not just keep holding and show exemplary patience, and outperform that way? Why overcomplicate it?" because, take a look at where the very HTF analysis gets invalidated: it's like saying "hey guys, don't worry about all the weakness on the Daily chart. As long as we're above $38k we're still bullish😃" that's a bullsh*t analysis, even though it's technically correct. there's nothing you can do with that information in an actionable manner to create value for yourself. By the time the analysis is invalidated price will be -50% lower from the highs. eventually one day that analysis does get invalidated. every bull market is met with a bear market. by hoping that the market does not follow through with it you've now become reliant on the market. if you're reliant on the market eventually one day it will surprise you. you give back any gains (and then some) the day that happens. it's inevitable. "okay, I hear you, but I don't like flipping bias in the middle of a bull market. It's scary. What if I end up sidelined?" 2 things: 1) I know BTC is not a great example of this, but when you assess your favorite altcoin (go ahead and try it on something like $DOGE, $RNDR, $NEAR, etc. it's the same), you would have provided yourself luxuries by assessing the structural shift on the daily, loss of a HTF trend portrayal (like 4H 200MAs), and often times a loss of a confluent support level as well. In the case of $SOL, a lower low on the daily is put in at $162 as that's happening, we're also losing the 4H 200MAs, which at first glance, is a clear representation of the Daly Market structure, since we've consistently found HTF bottoms along that trend for ~2 months straight, during a 120% rally upwards so now that the extremity of the trend has dialed up a notch because we're discussing a higher beta altcoin (more volatile), you can see how this sort of methodology of assessing the market can provide a much more comfortable experience in the market overall in this case, upon shifting bearish on HTFs, and only remaining bullish on very HTFs, SOL sells off to ~$116, a -28% drop after having shifted bearishly on HTFs from there, either we reach SOL's next inflection point on very HTFs, or we'll be forced to adapt to strength finding its way back into the market 2) "or we'll be forced to adapt to strength" nobody can tell you what 'strength' is, but my definition of it is; - reclaiming key levels/trend - shifting structure bullishly (higher highs/higher lows) if we've done those things; then we are showing strength on that dedicated timeframe, and I can anticipate a proportional kind of move to follow. If we have not; then there's no reason for me to sway my thoughts on the market, as nothing has changed - regardless of bounces, wicks, sweeps of the lows, etc. those things are fairly meaningless to me so that is to say, the same way we engineered the mindset of 'flipping bearish' on HTFs, we now have the ability to reverse engineer the same mentality to acknowledge strength finding its' way back into the market for $SOL what I mean by this is, how do you break the Daily Market Structure and lose HTF trend, without breaking the 4H Market structure and losing local trend beforehand? you can't. "if you wanted to build a snowman, you have to create a snowball first". so if we wanted to see $SOL new ATHs, $BTC resume price discovery, or $DOGE to $1; you have to reclaim local trends first and show strength on smaller timeframes => you can then test HTFs to compound that strength => if successful, we can continue uptrending amongst all timeframes. but it always has to start somewhere this concept refutes the fear of "but Mercury, my SOL bids were at $110, and price only went to $115. Did I miss the bottom?" we can rationalize with those fears by saying "nah, you probably haven't missed the bottom because no strength has been shown yet". eventually there comes a day where you fear missing out on your bids, but price action will give you your bids and then some. right? we will one day go into a bear market and your fears will seem petty in hindsight, because the market will continue lower relentlessly. As long as no strength is shown we can justify holding off on the fear of missing out we can also rationalize why those fears may be coming into fruition and look to counteract them in order to ensure we remain balanced in the market, fluid and adaptable, and exposed to a bull market to some degree in our trading portfolios so we can play into the strength, in the form of reclaims of local trends, and assume that they will atleast lead to a retest of the HTF trends overhead, and perhaps even a reclaim of those HTF trends, ya know, since we are in a bull market it would look a little something like this, for $SOL: this is just one example of how I mitigate all fears the market could ever possibly attempt to bestow upon me I can remain objective and refrain from 'buying dips' during -30% downtrends, getting slaughtered on the way down then coming to crypto twitter to post the one entry that worked after getting my ass handed to my several times prior I allow myself the comfortability to buy HTF inflection points, if we ever get there and I remain fluid and adaptable to the market, ensuring I can catch some of the upside and adapt to new information as it comes. developing exposure on coins relatively early in the grand scheme of things, when you consider that bull markets tend to be filled with an abundance of parabolic uptrends and things moving into price discovery these things are not mutually exclusive. I have mitigated all fears, at the same time. "but Merc, what if we get a 20%+ hourly candle and you're sidelined forever?" I've already accounted for that too, with the investments in my ledger account :D Balance is often underappreciated. We tend to reward the few heroes who roll the dice and risk liquidation or glory you don't realize for every 1 hero, there are 1,000 losers I have survived this market long enough to tell you the tale of the thousands of losers I've watched pass by but I've only been able to survive by achieving balance balance has allowed me to be ready for whatever the market brings and my resume has allowed me to say that, regardless of what happens, I will win. no words can express how great that feeling is. find balance.
You know, The same folks who said the BTC ETF being approved would “create supply” and be a “sell the news event” — Are now saying that the halving will be a “sell the news event” too. Do with this information as you please. Remilio.
Crypto Tea
@CryptoTea_Game theory says a country will print money to buy bitcoin BlackRock knows this and is quickly orange pilling governments their sales pitch is pretty easy: if you're the first country to print money to buy bitcoin you'll be rich if you're last, no one will trade you bitcoin for paper money
Ran Neuner
@cryptomanranJust experienced my 3rd halving in this industry! Excluding the 300 times my portfolio halved!!!
Eric Balchunas
@EricBalchunasLatest on HK spot Bitcoin ETFs: They have been approved to exist but not launch (yet). Rumor has it launching next wk so to not compete w Dubai conf. Don't expect a lot of flows (I saw one estimate of $25b that's insane). We think they'll be lucky to get $500m. Here's why: 1. HK ETF mkt is tiny, only $50b, and Chinese locals cannot buy these, at least officially. 2. The three issuers that were approved (Bosera, China AMC, Harvest) are tiny. No big fish like BlackRock involved (yet). 3. The underlying ecosystem there is less liq/efficient = these etfs will likely see wide spreads and prem discounts. 4. The fees on these likely to be bt 1-2%. Nowhere near the dirt cheap fees in the US "Terrordome" Takeaway: Other countries adding btc ETFs is no doubt additive but it's nickel-dime compared to the mighty US market. Huge h/t to @RebeccaSin_SK on my team who is on ground in HK
WIZZ🥷 ( beware scammers )
@CryptoWizarddLAST HOUR BEFORE THE #btc halving Like retweet if your still around in the #crypto space. ARE YOUR BAGGS PACKED ? 🚀🚀 #ETH #BTC
Mike Alfred
@mikealfredThe halving is complete. GBTC outflows at a trickle. Hong Kong ETFs live end of April. US wirehouses live in May. M2 liquidity boost imminent. Tax selling over. Nations secretly buying. And most traditional investors still hate the asset class. This is the best setup of all time.
Andrew Tate
@CobratateThe dollars fucked. Real estate (and most other investments) they will take off you once you don’t comply with their tyranny. And the tyranny will become worse than ever. Leaving bitcoin. There’s no other option.
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06yes let me sell my bitcoin because WW3 is starting, as the only decentralized & uncensorable hard store of value that transcends borders across the globe, while gold is at ATHs & inflation is still still above average levels yes, that sounds like a fantastic idea
Alex Becker 🍊🏆🥇
@ZssBeckerThis has been the most general/geo political market fud I’ve ever seen chucked our way and Bitcoin is barely budging. We can hold the line longer than they can keep this up. Up.
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