Paul Graham


about 1 month ago

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The biggest technical trend I've noticed in startups recently is AI. AGI may be far in the future, but in narrower domains ML has gotten good enough that it can be inserted into lots of different things to make them incrementally better.

In many domains ML will be enough of a differentiator that it will enable a new set of companies to win. It will be like microcomputers, or the internet, or smartphones in that respect.

The most surprising thing to me is that domain-specific ML doesn't seem that hard to build. Knowledge of the necessary techniques seems to be widespread, and you don't seem to need a truckload of GPUs and your own power plant to train a model for a narrow domain.

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